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Desertification Indicator System for Mediterranean Europe


1. Definition

Name

FUEL MODELS

Brief definition

Fuel, in the context of wildland or agricultural fire, refers to all combustible material available to burn. Fuels are different according to load, size and presence/absence of live tissues. Given their variability, a model is a synthetic way of expressing and describing fuel properties. A model can be defined as a collection, a data-base of fuel properties which are significant for rating fire danger and predicting fire behaviour.

Unit of measure

Total Fuel loading in tons/hectares, distinguished per load of the different size classes (lag-time classes) and presence/absence of live fuels with different moisture content

Spatial scale

 

Temporal scale

 

2. Position within the logical framework DPSIR

Type of Indicator

Driving Force/State

3. Target and political pertinence

Objective

The indicator contributes to the definition of the fuel load and consequently the potential behaviour of fires. It affects the intensity and impact of fires on ecosystems in a territory affected by desertification.

Importance with respect to desertification

The prediction of fire behaviour is one of the most important tasks required to operate fuel and fire management decision support systems and dynamic vegetation models. Knowledge of fuel bed characteristics, through the analysis and description of spatial fuel property layers, is crucial to fire managers and is becoming increasingly important to ecologists, air quality managers, and carbon balance modelers. As the source of all fire behaviour and fire effects, fuel bed must be characterized and mapped before any calculation of fire potential can be made. Fuel mapping, hazard assessment, evaluation of fuel treatment options and sequences and monitoring of fire effects all require a consistent and scientifically applied fuel classification system. Thirteen stylised fuel models (Anderson, 1982) were developed to provide standardized numerical fuel bed descriptions in order to generate reasonable and accurate fire behaviour, predictions using spread models, such as the classical BEHAVE. Each model is a database of about 30 fuel bed properties that determine its fire behaviour potential. The models were conceived of as a set of standardized and stylized inputs for use in the spread model across the range of fire behaviour. Fuel load and depth are significant fuel properties for predicting whether a fire will be ignited, its rate of spread, and its intensity.

International Conventions and agreements

The UNCCD recognised, among the particular conditions of the Mediterranean, that the causes of desertification include the extensive forest coverage losses due to frequent wildfires (Convention text as of September 1994 and as of September 2001).

Secondary objectives of the indicator

This indicator represents the potential impact of fire on land and is a good predictor of its expected effects on forest and rural ecosystem. Information about the expected severity of fire at a topographic scale can help in addressing measures to recognise the greatest fire hazard areas, to organise an efficient fire fighting system to cope with fire, and indirectly to reduce desertification.

4. Methodological description and basic definitions

Definitions and basic concepts

Fuel models can be defined as numerical arrays, i.e. standardized descriptions of physical properties of fuel heaps, ranging from total load to surface/volume ratio, to amount of fuel per size classes, to fuel bed depth, to extinction moisture. Fuels have been classified into four groups (grasses, brush, timber and slash) and grouped into 13 models, with a numerical code from 1 to 13, which roughly correspond to vegetation types, namely:

  • Grasses (1, 2, 3)
  • Brushes (4, 5, 6, 7)
  • Timber (8, 9, 10)
  • Slash (11, 12, 13)

Benchmarks Indication of the values/ranges of value

The potential impact of fire on land is evaluated through the use of:

  • Combustibility rate: i.e. the facility to burn (Velez, 2000) and the
  • Ignition rate, i.e. the facility to start burning (Rodriguez y Silva, 2000).

Fuel model

Combustibility rate

Ignition rate

1

10

1

2

10

1

3

10

0.9

7

10

0.7

 

 

 

4

10

0.6

5

10

0.2

6

10

0.6

 

 

 

8

5

0.5

9

5

0.4

10

5

0.2

 

 

 

11

1

0.2

12

1

0.1

13

1

0.1

according tothe above table we have:

  • class I - score 1: fuel models 11, 12, 13
  • class II - score 1.33: fuel models 8, 9, 10
  • class III - score 1.66: fuel models 4, 5, 6
  • class IV - score 2: fuel models 1, 2, 3, 7

Methods of measurement

There are several way to estimate fuel models and therefore biomass loading:

  • Through the use of the 13 standard fuel models formerly described by Anderson (1982) with "Fuel Model Descriptions" and typical photographic examples of American vegetated landscapes corresponding to different models.
  • Through the use of the "ICONA fuel models", i.e. of the 13 USA standard fuel models adapted and described in Spain by ICONA for Spanish forest regions, with "Fuel Model Descriptions" and typical photographic examples of Spain vegetated landscapes corresponding to different models (Velez Munoz, 2000).
  • It is also possible to build ad hoc models through specific software such as NWMDL.

Limits of the indicator

This indicator requires information on land use at a very small scale; land cover and vegetation maps at a suittable scale can help to identify the mosaic of fuel models.

Linkages with other indicators

Fire risk, Burned area, Fire frequency.

5. Evaluation of data needs and availability

Data required to calculate the indicator

List and description of canonical models. Parameters, as input for NWMDL if ad hoc models must be built, such as:

  • Fuel load, ratio of surface area to volume for each of the three size classes (from 0,6cm, to 7,6 cm), depth of fuel bed, live fuel moisture, dead fuel moisture, including that at which fire will not spread, called extinction moisture.

Data sources

Vegetation Maps. Direct survey on the ground. R.S. images can also be used to directly simulate fuel maps.

Availability of data from national and international sources

International and National cartographic surveys (i.e. CORINE land cover).

6. Institutions that have participated in developing the indicator

Main institutions responsible

University of Basilicata, Italy

Other contributing organizations

 

7. Additional information

Bibliography

Andrews P.L., 1986 BEHAVE Fire behaviour prediction and fuel modelling system. Burn subsystem. USDA, Forest Service, Gen. Techn. Rep. INT- 195, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Ogden, Ut.

 

Anderson, H.E., 1982. Aids to Determining Fuel Models For Estimating Fire Behaviour. USDA Forest Service, Gen. Techn. Rep. INT-122. Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Ogden, UT.

 

Rothermel, R.C., 1972. A Mathematical model for Predicting Fire Spread in Wild Land Fuels. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Research Paper, INT-115, Ogden, UT.

 

Burgan R.E., Rothermel T.C., 1984 BEHAVE: fire behaviour prediction and fuel modelling system. Fuel subsystem. USDA, Forest Service, Gen. Techn. Rep. INT- 167, Intermountain Forest and range Experiment Station, Ogden

 

Rodriguez y Silva F., 2000 Ejemplos de planes de defensa. In: Velez R. (ed.), 2000 La defensa contra incendios forestales: fundamentos y experiencias. McGraw Hill, Madrid

 

Salazar L.A, 1985 - Sensitivity of fire behavior simulations to fuel model variations. Res. Pap. PSW-178. Berkeley, CA : USDA, For. Serv., Pacific Southwest For. Range Exp.Stn.

 

Velez Munoz R., 2000 Combustibles forestales. In: Velez R. (ed.), 2000 La defensa contra incendios forestales: fundamentos y experiencias. McGraw Hill, Madrid

Other references

Nardiello D., 1998 - Attivitą di prevenzione contro gli incendi boschivi e cartografia di rischio: applicazione alla Val d'Agri dell'analisi territoriale multidisciplinare (Sistema A.F.S). Degree Thesis, University of Basilicata, Academic Year 1997-98

 

Lovreglio R., 2001-Proposta per la realizzazione di un piano antincendio boschivo per la Riserva Naturale di Torre Guaceto (Br), unpublished manuscript

Contacts Name and address

Prof. Agostino Ferrara
University of Basilicata
Polo Universitario di Macchia Romana
85100 Potenza, Italy
e-mail: ferrara@unibas.it